
A year ago, some of the most nervous entrepreneurs in the world were in Hong Kong, Taipei and Shanghai. Trade tensions, a property slump in mainland China and a stalled listings market had put founders there among the most cautious respondents in HSBC’s annual survey of business owners. Twelve months on, they are the most cheerful people in the room.
The reason has little to do with apps and almost everything to do with the machines the apps run on.
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HSBC’s Global Entrepreneurial Wealth Report 2026, which polled more than 3,000 founders across 17 markets, finds that 54 per cent of Hong Kong entrepreneurs now feel “very positive” about their business prospects, up 20 percentage points year-on-year. Optimism about personal wealth rose 22 points to 53 per cent. In Taiwan, the share of “very positive” founders climbed 15 points to 43 per cent.
Follow the shipments and the mood swing makes sense. Mainland China (18 per cent), Taiwan (14 per cent) and Hong Kong (12 per cent) together accounted for nearly half of all global AI-related exports by value in the first quarter of 2026. The report says Taiwan’s AI hardware exports are now equivalent to almost half the island’s GDP, a figure that says as much about concentration risk as it does about success.
Hong Kong, meanwhile, logged its busiest first half for IPOs in five years, with AI listings leading the queue. It is the same report that told us AI will create jobs, provided you read the fine print.
For Southeast Asia, the uncomfortable takeaway is that the region barely features in this story. Its startup ecosystem spent a decade perfecting super-apps, ride-hailing and digital marketplaces: software businesses that monetise users rather than ship silicon. The money now flowing through the AI supply chain is largely going elsewhere.
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There are efforts to change that. Thailand has approved a semiconductor strategy that targets roughly US$80 billion in cumulative investment by 2050, while Singapore has given its chip sector a national identity in SG Semiconductor. But national roadmaps run on decades, and founders run on 18-month runways.
The generation that treats AI as plumbing
The second half of the report is about who is building companies, not where. Gen Z founders lead every age group on AI adoption: 65 per cent say they have fully embedded AI into their operations, compared with 57 per cent of Gen X and older founders. In mainland China, the Gen Z figure reaches 91 per cent.
Desmond Kuang, Chief Investment Officer for Asia at HSBC Private Bank, describes the gap as a matter of temperament. Young founders, he says, are “more comfortable experimenting, iterating and tolerating model risk”, while older peers “often require clear ROI, stronger governance”.
In practice, that means AI agents handling scheduling, research, customer support triage and code refactoring from day one. Some young founders in financial services say they have redesigned entry-level hiring altogether, handing routine junior analyst work to software and hiring humans only for senior roles.
That looks efficient on a spreadsheet. It also raises an awkward question for an ecosystem that already struggles to grow mid-level talent: if nobody hires juniors, where do tomorrow’s seniors come from? Singapore’s job market is already treating agentic AI as the hottest skill on the CV, and the people being priced out are rarely the ones writing the job ads.
Worried, but only a little
The report is keen to show that Gen Z founders are not reckless. They are twice as likely as older founders to worry that AI will erode critical thinking in their teams. Female founders show a similar gap over male peers, at 8 per cent versus 4 per cent.
The framing hides the base, though. “Twice as concerned” means 10 per cent versus 5 per cent. Roughly nine in ten of the most AI-fluent founders surveyed did not flag cognitive decline as a concern. That is less a generation guarding against automation bias than a thoughtful minority within one.
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Data privacy is a different matter. It is Gen Z’s top adoption concern, cited by 36 per cent, while every other age group puts implementation cost first. That matches what engineering leaders across the region describe: teams are happy to let AI agents draft and test, but not touch production. The threat surface is widening too, with cheap AI-driven attacks now within reach of the region’s small online merchants.
The barbell, and the gold
The most revealing data may sit outside the business. Thirty-eight per cent of Gen Z founders name inflation as their biggest personal wealth worry. Their response is what the report calls a barbell strategy: high-risk bets on their companies paired with defensive personal holdings. Sixty-seven per cent of Gen Z business owners plan to buy more physical gold over the next year, and 60 per cent intend to increase direct investments in private companies, compared with 44 per cent of Gen X.
That last number deserves attention from Southeast Asian VCs and family offices. A cohort of young, AI-native founders who want to write their own cheques into private companies is a potential co-investor, not just deal flow.
What the region should actually take from this
The report’s implicit prescription, plugging into North Asia’s hardware engine, is easier written than done. Partnering with Taiwanese foundries or Shenzhen robotics makers takes purchasing power, technical credibility and, increasingly, geopolitical nerve, as US-China export controls redraw who can sell what to whom.
A more useful reading is narrower. Southeast Asian software startups that want to matter in this cycle should build for the hardware that is arriving, such as edge devices, robotics, EVs and factory automation, rather than another chatbot wrapper. Taiwan, for its part, is trying to move in the opposite direction, betting on Gen Z founders to outgrow its chip-supplier image. The two ecosystems have more to trade than either tends to admit.
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The Gen Z lesson, meanwhile, is not simply “adopt more AI”. It is to adopt it with the privacy discipline young founders say they want, and with the human judgement that only a minority of them are actively protecting.
North Asia’s founders are optimistic because they sell the picks and shovels. Southeast Asia’s will need a sharper plan than renting them.
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