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From quantitative tightening to quantitative crypto: How policy shifts are rewriting market rules

The Federal Reserve’s less hawkish stance is acting as a catalyst for renewed investor confidence across both traditional and digital asset classes. This shift is occurring as part of a broader recalibration of macro expectations, liquidity dynamics, and institutional posture toward risk.

For those engaged in the evolution of financial systems, particularly at the intersection of decentralised infrastructure and macro policy, the current moment offers insight into how legacy market frameworks are beginning to accommodate the emerging crypto native paradigm, albeit cautiously.

The Fed’s latest policy update, which shows a more dovish tilt relative to earlier guidance, has brought a degree of optimism to markets already sensitive to changes in interest rate trajectories. The decision to implement a 25 basis point rate cut, along with a pause in quantitative tightening, signals that central authorities believe inflationary pressures may be easing enough to allow a recalibration of monetary policy.

This shift coincides with an increase in US initial jobless claims, which rose by 44,000 to 236,000 in the week ending December 6, 2025, exceeding forecasts. Such labour market softness strengthens the case for a more accommodative stance from the Fed, consistent with UOB’s projection of two rate reductions in the second and third quarters of 2026, bringing the Fed Funds Target Rate to 3.25 per cent by the end of 2026.

Equity markets showed a mixed reaction, reflecting relief over the Fed’s stance and caution regarding ongoing macro uncertainties. The Dow Jones rose 1.34 per cent, the S&P 500 gained 0.21 per cent, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq declined 0.26 per cent. This divergence suggests a rotation away from growth-oriented equities toward value and cyclical exposures. A similar dynamic is visible in crypto markets, where Bitcoin’s dominance has increased to 58.75 per cent.

Investors appear to be favouring established, large-cap digital assets as relatively safer options within a volatile risk landscape. This preference for perceived stability aligns with broader portfolio strategies that emphasise quality US equities while leaning toward non-US value and mid-cap exposures.

Also Read: Fed cuts rates but crypto plunges: The liquidity trap no one’s talking about

Fixed income markets also responded positively to the Fed’s policy shift, with US Treasury yields declining. The ten-year yield fell more than 1 basis point to 4.14 per cent, and the two-year yield dropped more than 3 basis points to 3.52 per cent. These movements indicate growing investor appetite for longer duration assets as yield differentials narrow and the path of future rate cuts becomes clearer. Bond yields are becoming attractive again from a strategic perspective, supporting allocations to high-quality fixed income as a counterbalance to equity and crypto volatility.

In foreign exchange markets, the US dollar weakened, with USD/JPY falling 0.3 per cent to 155.48 in its second consecutive session of decline. This weakness is consistent with expectations of further Japanese yen strength as the Bank of Japan signals plans to raise rates in December, narrowing the yield gap with the US.

In commodities, divergent trends emerged. Brent crude fell 1.49 per cent to close at US$61.28 per barrel as market attention shifted to potential progress in Russia-Ukraine peace discussions. Gold rose 1.2 per cent to US$2,880.08 per ounce, reinforcing its role as a defensive hedge in uncertain macro environments.

In Asia, regional equities mostly closed lower following the Fed’s rate cut announcement, though early trading showed mixed performance. The strategic outlook remains overweight on Chinese equities, using a barbell approach that combines exposure to tech innovators and high dividend plays.

Against this macro backdrop, the crypto market rose 2.28 per cent in the last 24 hours, maintaining a seven-day uptrend of 0.3 per cent, though still 9 per cent below its 30-day average. This rebound appears driven not by retail speculation but by institutional momentum and favourable liquidity conditions.

Also Read: The Fed pivots, but markets hold their breath

Binance continues to lead global Bitcoin trading volume with a 35.4 per cent share, reflecting its established infrastructure and role as a liquidity hub. More notably, JPMorgan’s execution of a debt deal on Solana during Breakpoint 2025 marks an important moment in institutional adoption of blockchain infrastructure beyond asset speculation. This suggests Solana can support more complex financial instruments, strengthening its credibility among traditional finance participants.

US Bitcoin ETFs recorded US$223 million in inflows, the highest in 20 days, indicating renewed institutional demand for regulated crypto exposure. These flows act as a gauge of professional investor sentiment and show that macro tailwinds are influencing capital allocation decisions. Bitcoin’s price action, however, remains closely tied to equity movements, with a 0.85 correlation to the S&P 500. This dependence highlights a vulnerability: despite gaining institutional legitimacy, crypto has not yet separated itself from traditional risk-on and risk-off dynamics. The recent drop in Bitcoin to US$109,000 during a tech sector selloff illustrates this.

Another factor is the sharp rise in derivatives leverage. Perpetual futures open interest increased 11.6 per cent to US$87.9 billion, while funding rates rose 102 per cent within 24 hours. Bitcoin liquidations reached US$95 million, with 77 per cent coming from short positions, indicating strong bullish momentum but also heightened risk of a leveraged long squeeze. The seven-day RSI of 53 suggests scope for further upside if momentum persists and macro conditions remain supportive.

In conclusion, the current rally reflects a combination of institutional engagement and macro liquidity. However, it continues to unfold within a structure still linked to traditional markets. The Fed’s shift provides short-term support, but sustainability depends on whether crypto can develop independent price drivers rooted in utility, adoption, and network effects.

Key levels to watch include Bitcoin’s US$93,000 resistance and the ETH/BTC ratio, which could indicate altcoin rotation. Solana’s ability to maintain institutional interest after Breakpoint will also be important. While conditions have improved, the market’s structural dependencies and elevated leverage call for cautious optimism rather than strong enthusiasm.

Editor’s note: e27 aims to foster thought leadership by publishing views from the community. Share your opinion by submitting an article, video, podcast, or infographic.

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Asia’s startup ecosystem continues to grow — and here are the milestones powering that momentum

Innovation across Asia doesn’t happen in silos. At e27, we’ve always believed that the best way to understand the region’s entrepreneurial energy is to see the work as it happens — the launches, partnerships, product upgrades, and breakthroughs startups achieve every week. Through initiatives like our Startup Profiles and deep-dive reporting on regional trends such as Southeast Asia’s readiness for AI and the rise of digital wealth platforms, we spotlight the founders building what’s next.

This milestone roundup does exactly that: bringing together standout updates from startups across sectors — from AI agents to B2B marketplaces to consumer experiences. If you’re a founder and want your updates featured in future editions, now’s the perfect time to get started.

  • Create your company profile: https://e27.co/startupprofile.
  • Post your milestone: https://e27.co/milestone/post/.

Your updates help the broader ecosystem learn, collaborate, and grow.

As more startups progress from experimentation to scale — a shift highlighted in our coverage on AI adoption acceleration and regional startup funding resilience — these community milestones show how founders continue adapting and building despite market pressures.

Also Read: Celebrating innovation and growth from startups, SMEs, and investors in Asia

Here are this week’s highlights from the e27 community

ChatterBooth: New Features: Adds Gen AI and Music Lounge
ChatterBooth unveils v0.6.2, introducing a GenAI-powered tool that lets users generate Booths and Memos on the go. The update also adds music in the waiting lounge, plus an in-app tutorial, creating a smoother and more enjoyable creative experience.

Deep Insight Labs: Deep Insight Labs Partners with UK-Based Causaility.AI
Deep Insight Labs announces a strategic collaboration with Causaility.AI, integrating its research agent with Causaility’s causal-reasoning engine — a system designed to explain its thinking, outline assumptions, and map risk pathways with hedge-fund-grade precision.

ComicAsia: ComicAsia Wins Worldwide Pitch Competition, IPHatch Asia 2025!
ComicAsia has been named a Winner of IPHatch Asia 2025, one of Asia’s most respected deep-tech open-innovation competitions. With two Panasonic patents now in hand, the company aims to reshape how graphic novels and comic books are experienced globally.

PriyoShop: PriyoShop expands ‘Dipty’ home-brand with new lentil line
Bangladesh’s leading B2B marketplace PriyoShop expands its home-brand Dipty with the launch of Dipty Lentils, strengthening its position in the essentials category and further supporting retailers across the country.

AeroChat: AeroChat live on Shopify App Store
AeroChat is now officially live on the Shopify App Store, giving merchants the ability to sync store data and automate customer care through AI chat, live chat, and unified ticketing — all in one platform.

BrndIQ: Founding Member Early Access Launched!
BrndIQ launches its Founding Member Early Access at USD 97 for a full year, offering an early opportunity to access tools that help companies track brand mentions before they become costly to miss.

Also Read: Celebrating innovation and momentum across Asia’s startup and SME ecosystem

If your startup has a win, update, or milestone worth sharing, don’t keep it to yourself. Create your profile and post your milestone on e27 — and your story could be featured next.

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Ecosystem Roundup: SEA’s AI reality check; Terraform Labs’ ex-CEO jailed; Grab-GoTo merger scrutiny; Digital economy’s age of discipline

Southeast Asia’s enthusiasm for AI is unmistakable. With around 500 million internet users — roughly 10% of the global online population — the region is not merely AI-curious, but AI-ready.

Data from the e-Conomy SEA 2025 report underscores this momentum, showing consumer interest in both general and multimodal AI exceeding global averages, alongside a broadly positive perception of its benefits.

Yet translating enthusiasm into impact is far from straightforward. Trust remains a central hurdle. While consumers readily embrace AI for everyday conveniences, hesitation persists when it comes to complex, high-stakes decisions in finance or healthcare. For businesses, this makes transparency, user control and verifiability not optional features, but foundational requirements.

Economics further complicate adoption. Southeast Asia’s relatively low labour costs fundamentally alter the AI value equation. Unlike markets where automation is justified by high wages, AI investments here must demonstrate clear, localised returns without relying on large-scale labour displacement.

Layered onto this are structural complexities. Extraordinary cultural and linguistic diversity demands hyper-localisation, while fragmented and evolving regulatory regimes introduce uncertainty into long-term AI strategies. At the same time, AI is already reshaping consumer journeys, replacing linear search with algorithm-driven discovery.

Southeast Asia’s AI future will favour companies that balance ambition with nuance — building trust, respecting diversity, and deploying AI where it truly adds value.

REGIONAL

Ex-Terraform Labs CEO jailed 15 years for US$40B crypto fraud: Terraform Labs co-founder Do Kwon received a 15-year US prison sentence for fraud after TerraUSD’s 2022 collapse erased US$40 billion, impacting one million investors globally and triggering widespread financial devastation.

Indonesian regulator seeks role in Grab-GoTo merger on monopoly risk: The Indonesian Competition Commission noted that a merger between Grab and GoTo in Indonesia’s ride-hailing market would exceed monopoly thresholds, but the impact would depend on the final structure of the deal.

Temasek-backed SeaTown raises US$900M at second close of credit fund: The firm raised US$612 million at the first close in August. SeaTown is targeting a final fund size similar to its previous two private credit funds, which raised US$1.2B and US$1.3B.

MetaComp secures US$22M as Singapore emerges as Asia’s stablecoin hub: The investors include Eastern Bell Capital, Noah, Sky9 Capital, Freshwave Fund, and Beingboom Capital. With StableX and VisionX adoption rising, MetaComp prepares to expand regulated stablecoin settlement across SEA, South Asia and the Middle East.

Vietnam and Hong Kong join Singapore in global crypto top ten: Six Asia Pacific markets ranked among the world’s top 20, signalling a powerful mix of regulatory clarity, institutional participation and grassroots-driven use cases.

Validus secures US$30M in Series D from Khazanah Nasional: The SME financing marketplace will use the funding to scale up business operations as it aims to double its loan book over the next three years across Indonesia and Thailand.

Singapore’s RockFlow nets tens of millions of dollars in funding: Investors include Ant Group, Monolith Management, and Lanchi Ventures. The company will use the funds to expand globally and further develop Bobby, an AI agent for investment analysis and execution.

ComfortDelGro, Pony.ai get OK to test self-driving shuttles in Singapore: Singapore wants to roll out commercial AV services next year. For the initial phase, the city-state is eyeing a shuttle service that will ply a fixed number of locations within a specified district.

Saladin doubles down on digital insurance with Series A raise: Investors include SBI Ven Capital, Kyobo Securities, Monk’s Hill Ventures, and Peak XV Partners. Saladin’s Series A fuels expansion into digital life insurance as Vietnam’s insurtech market accelerates amid regulatory reform and consumer demand.

REPORTS & FEATURES

SEA is ready for AI, but not on Silicon Valley’s terms: The local economics present a unique calculation for AI adoption: business adoption of AI hinges on its affordability relative to labour costs. The weighted average wage in SEA is calculated to be just 5% of that in the US, and 36% of that in China.

Southeast Asia’s digital economy enters its “age of discipline”:
While the funding environment remains cautious, capital is being strategically deployed into areas with perceived long-term value, high-tech potential, and demonstrated financial discipline.

Digital wealth platforms hit scale in SEA as foreign investing apps outgrow local rivals: Key factors driving adoption of digital wealth platforms include lower fees compared to traditional instruments, a fully digital, seamless onboarding experience, and simple and clearly articulated financial products.

Southeast Asia’s next leap: QAI Ventures reveals how the region can accelerate deep tech development: QAI Ventures sees developments signifying a region ready to transition from tech adoption to true deep-tech integration.

INTERNATIONAL

South Korea launches US$102B fund for AI, chips, robotics: The fund will allocate US$51B to strategic industries with government backing, and US$51B from private sources, using a mix of financing tools such as bonds and low-interest loans.

Robinhood shares fall 8% as trading volumes drop: The US-based brokerage app reported cryptocurrency trading fall 12% from October to US$28.6 billion, a 19% year-on-year decline. Equity trading volumes also dropped 37% month-on-month to US$201.5 billion, though this figure was up 37% year-on-year.

South Korea to build US$3.1B foundry to boost chip production: The proposed 12-inch, 40-nanometre foundry aims to help fabless firms develop and test chips, according to the industry ministry. Officials will also seek to locally produce defence-related semiconductors, as the country currently imports 99% of these chips.

Palantir sues rival CEO over employee poaching: The US-based analytics software firm claims Percepta AI CEO Hirsh Jain, co-founder Radha Jain, and Joanna Cohen tried to recruit Palantir staff and misuse confidential information after leaving the firm.

S Korea to require labels on AI-generated ads from Jan 2026: The new rules come as AI-generated ads featuring fake experts and celebrity deepfakes have risen sharply, especially in the food and pharmaceutical sectors. Nearly 97,000 AI-generated ads for food and drug products were reported in 2024, up from about 59,000 in 2021.

SEMICONDUCTOR

China reportedly includes domestic AI chips in procurement list: AI processors from companies such as Huawei and Cambricon have been added to a government-approved supplier list. The move is part of Beijing’s ongoing efforts to reduce reliance on foreign technology, especially after US export controls limited access to advanced chips.

Former digital minister warns of growing cyber threats to TSMC: Digital minister Huang Yen-nun said hostile cyberattacks could be the most effective way to harm Taiwan’s semiconductor sector, emphasising the need for stronger industry precautions.

Senator calls for Nvidia CEO to testify on Trump’s chip approval: Senator Warren questioned Trump’s chip policy shift amid smuggling probes, as critics warn China risks, while the White House and Nvidia stressed licensing, legality differences, and limited China sales exposure.

Global chipmaker STMicro gets US$1.2B loan for Italy, France plants: The credit line came from European Investment Bank. About 60% of the funding is allocated to manufacturing facilities in Catania, Agrate, and Crolles, while the remaining 40% will go to R&D.

AI

The AI revolution in emerging markets: Local models, global impact: As AI transitions from early experimentation to everyday utility, platforms grounded in real user needs and sustainable model development may shape the next major chapter in global adoption.

The 3-day job that changed my perspective on work, adaptability, and AI: A three-day job dismissal prompts reflections on adaptability, initiative, and the growing importance of human determination in an AI-driven workplace.

What if AI spoke Singlish? How humour, language, and culture can make technology feel human again: Humour and local language help older adults engage with AI, turning Singlish playfulness into a pathway for digital inclusion.

Creating an AI playbook that works in SEA: Startups are usually first movers in deploying AI and can offer real world insights on where guardrails are needed, and what’s practically enforceable. Policymakers consult them before launching new rules and regulations.

The human touch endures: Why AI won’t replace all blue-collar jobs: Even as AI integrates into blue-collar jobs, human workers will still need to supervise, maintain, and collaborate with AI systems in the foreseeable future.

THOUGHT LEADERSHIP

5 hard truths from working with 200+ startups in SEA: Customer journey is rarely linear in SEA. Users move between platforms, languages, offline and online spaces. They discover brands through WhatsApp groups, TikTok creators, Telegram channels, niche communities or university networks long before they reach your website.

Bitcoin just broke US$94K: Here’s what the Fed’s next move means for your portfolio: Markets paused ahead of the Fed decision as strong labour data complicated rate expectations, while crypto surged on short squeezes, institutional inflows, and regulatory clarity, highlighting growing divergence from traditional financial markets.

Leadership, AI, and purpose: What 2025 taught us and what will shape 2026?: Whether speaking with operators in Indonesia, founders in Singapore, or policy voices in India, one pattern emerged: effective leaders in 2025 were those who embraced transparency, contextualised risk, and built cultures rooted in purpose rather than pressure.

 Livestreaming done right: How brands can turn viewers into loyal customers: Singapore’s e-commerce shift in 2025 shows brands must pair branded livestreams with consistent video content to build trust and sustainable sales.

Modernising the bank payments stack: How banks can compete and win in merchant acquiring: Banks can regain leadership in merchant acquiring by modernising their payments stack into modular, data-driven platforms that match fintech agility.

Fighting the chaos of growth: 5 practices to improve corporate governance beyond the board: In this article, there are five key learnings on how to build a company’s corporate governance muscle and reduce “governance debt” early on.

Decoding startup journey: Top 5 challenges entrepreneurs encounter: To succeed as a startup, it is essential to assemble a strong founding team, hire qualified staff, identify a specialised market, create a product that fits that market, and handle finances wisely.

The success algorithm: How life can mirror an AI model’s settings: A bold entrepreneur might experiment with multiple business ideas, while a stable professional follows a steady, predictable career path. The key is knowing when to adjust—too high, and decisions become chaotic; too low, and opportunities may be missed.

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Why Singapore manufacturers must embrace MES for the future

Discover how MES and ERP can transform Singapore’s manufacturing sector, boost productivity, and ensure competitiveness in the global market.

Singapore’s manufacturing sector remains a critical pillar of the nation’s economy, contributing significantly to GDP and employment. Yet, despite its importance, the majority of manufacturing businesses in Singapore continue to rely on basic invoicing and accounting systems with simple inventory management. These tools, while functional, lack the comprehensive production modules required to optimise operations in today’s competitive landscape. Alarmingly, over 95% of manufacturers in Singapore have yet to deploy a robust Manufacturing Execution System (MES), leaving them at risk of inefficiencies and missed opportunities.

What is MES?

A Manufacturing Execution System (MES) is a specialised software solution designed to monitor, track, document, and control the entire production process on the factory floor. Unlike traditional accounting or inventory systems, MES provides real-time visibility into manufacturing operations, enabling businesses to manage production schedules, quality control, resource allocation, and compliance seamlessly. MES acts as the digital backbone of modern manufacturing, bridging the gap between enterprise-level planning and shop-floor execution.

Standard requirements for a good MES

For an MES to deliver true value, it must meet several standard requirements:

  • Real-time data collection and monitoring across production lines.
  • Integration with ERP systems for seamless information flow.
  • Quality management modules to ensure compliance with industry standards.
  • Resource and workforce management capabilities.
  • Scalability to support future growth and technological advancements.
  • User-friendly dashboards and analytics for actionable insights.

These features ensure that manufacturers can achieve operational excellence, reduce waste, and improve productivity.

Differences between ERP and MES

While both ERP (Enterprise Resource Planning) and MES are critical to manufacturing success, they serve distinct purposes. ERP systems focus on high-level business processes such as finance, procurement, human resources, and supply chain management

MES, on the other hand, operates at the shop-floor level, managing production activities in real time. ERP answers the question of “what” needs to be produced, while MES addresses “how” it is produced. Together, they form a powerful synergy, but relying solely on ERP without MES leaves a significant gap in operational efficiency.

Also read: How IsCoolLab is shaping the future of industrial automation in Southeast Asia

How MES will benefit Singapore manufacturers

Deploying MES offers numerous benefits for Singapore’s manufacturing sector:

  • Enhanced productivity through real-time monitoring and optimization.
  • Improved quality control with automated compliance checks.
  • Reduced downtime by identifying bottlenecks and inefficiencies quickly.
  • Greater flexibility to adapt to changing market demands.
  • Stronger integration with Industry 4.0 technologies such as IoT and AI.

For Singapore manufacturers aiming to remain globally competitive, MES is not just a tool—it is a strategic necessity.

Risk of ignoring the importance of MES

According to Steve Lai, an ERP expert from Multiable with over 25 years in manufacturing ERP solution, “Manufacturers who ignore MES risk falling behind in efficiency, compliance, and competitiveness. Without MES, businesses are essentially blind to what is happening on the shop floor. They may continue to rely on outdated systems that cannot provide real-time insights, leading to costly delays, quality issues, and missed opportunities in a fast-moving global market.” This perspective underscores the urgency for Singapore manufacturers to act now rather than later.

Also read: How CCTV-based vision AI is transforming manufacturing

Demystifying MES and ERP for businesses

At PRbyAI, we believe that knowledge empowers businesses to make smarter decisions. The purpose of this article is to share updated market news and insights, leveraging our team’s deep technical expertise. We aim to help B2B customers—especially those without a strong technical background—understand the importance of MES and ERP in the context of Singapore’s manufacturing landscape. By simplifying complex concepts, we hope to bridge the gap between technology and business strategy, enabling informed decision-making.

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About PRbyAI

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Emerging sleeping giant: Why global investors can’t afford to overlook Bangladesh — Part 1

This is the first part of a two-part series on why Bangladesh is becoming one of the most compelling markets for global investors. In this part, we explore the big picture forces shaping the opportunity, from economic momentum to digital adoption and the character of local founders.

Bangladesh, long overshadowed by flashier emerging markets, is fast proving itself an opportunity too big to ignore. Despite being Asia’s eighth-most populous nation and one of its fastest-growing economies, this ‘sleeping giant’ has until now remained off the radar of many global investors. With a booming consumer base, surging digital adoption, and a resilient economy, Bangladesh’s startup ecosystem is a diamond in the rough that savvy investors are waking up to.

The missed giant

Bangladesh, positioned between India and Southeast Asia, has historically fallen between the cracks of investor attention. Despite outperforming several neighbours in GDP growth, digital adoption, and consumer expansion, the country has not yet received proportional global investment. This gap stems not from a lack of opportunity, but from a lack of awareness. Bangladesh’s true potential remains largely untold.

Indeed, the nation of 180+ million has been consistently outperforming neighbours like India and Pakistan on many economic fronts, yet its startup sector has been dwarfed in funding by those countries. In 2021, Bangladeshi startups raised around US$165 million, a record high for the country, while Pakistan’s nascent ecosystem drew over US$350 million and India’s a staggering US$42 billion. This disparity stems not from lack of opportunity, but from lack of awareness.

Globally, Bangladesh is still often pigeonholed as a source of cheap labour or seen through the lens of its garment industry, rather than as a vibrant consumer and tech market. “Most global investors do not know that Bangladesh has more to offer than just cheap labour and goods”, notes Rahat Ahmed of Anchorless Bangladesh, a NY-based VC fund. In short, Bangladesh’s narrative hasn’t been told well; its booming economy and young, digital-hungry population remain an under-the-radar opportunity.

Why Bangladesh?

For investors seeking growth markets, Bangladesh checks all the boxes. The country boasts 180 million people, making it the world’s eighth most populous nation. Crucially, it’s a young nation, with a median age of just 28, yielding a massive demographic dividend of energetic, tech-savvy youth driving innovation and consumption. This consumer base isn’t just large; it’s getting more affluent each year.

Bangladesh’s per capita GDP growth has been among the highest in the world, even outpacing giants like China, India, Indonesia and Vietnam in recent years. An expanding middle class is fuelling domestic demand across retail, services and fintech.

Digital adoption is surging at an extraordinary pace, creating fertile ground for tech startups. Over 98 per cent of households now have a mobile phone, and smartphone usage jumped from 63 per cent to nearly 73 per cent of households just in the last two years. More than half of Bangladeshi households are connected to the internet, up from 44 per cent in 2018, meaning tens of millions of new internet users are coming online.

Rising mobile broadband access presents a huge opportunity for mobile-first services, from ride-hailing and food delivery to e-commerce and digital finance. Back in 2017, Dhaka was already ranked the #2 city in Asia for active Facebook users, a hint of how eagerly Bangladesh’s population embraces online platforms. Today, many Bangladeshis consume content predominantly on smartphones, scrolling Facebook, streaming YouTube or local services, rather than on television.

Also Read: Decoding startup journey: Top 5 challenges entrepreneurs encounter

In short, the country’s digital infrastructure and consumer readiness have reached a tipping point. A talented, hungry workforce is eager to try new apps and services, and with over 43 million students in the education system, the talent pipeline is only growing. The consumer economy, the digital rails, and the sheer retail market size have all been vastly underestimated by outsiders, making Bangladesh a compelling next frontier.

Why now?

If Bangladesh has long been overlooked, why is now the time to bet on this market? Simply put, multiple trend lines are converging in Bangladesh’s favour. First, the country’s economy is not only growing fast but also diversifying beyond garments. GDP has more than tripled in the past decade, crossing US$400 billion, with robust contributions from sectors like manufacturing, services, and now a budding digital economy. This growth comes with increasing stability (Bangladesh is on track to graduate from ‘least developed country’ status by 2026) and an economy anchored in fundamentals.

As one Forbes column recently argued, value-based investors see that now is the time to invest in Bangladesh, precisely when short-term worries have spooked the uninitiated. The country’s strong domestic demand and ‘resilience to global shocks’ set it apart. It weathered the pandemic and inflationary waves with less disruption than many peers, thanks to a large internal market and prudent policies.

Second, Bangladesh is entering a sweet spot of its demographic dividend. With a majority of the population of working age, and millions set to join the workforce, the nation will enjoy at least another decade where productivity can soar. This youthful cohort is entrepreneurial and plugged-in: they are launching startups, consuming digital services, and becoming first-time urban consumers en masse.

The surge in fintech and digital finance is a prime example of the timing. Services like mobile money have achieved massive scale – bKash, the country’s leading mobile financial platform, now serves over 68 million accounts (about 40 per cent of the population) and attracted a US$1 billion investment from SoftBank in 2018, making it Bangladesh’s first unicorn.

The digital rails are truly in place: mobile payments, eKYC, and nationwide 4G (soon 5G) connectivity provide the infrastructure for fintech and e-commerce booms. Smartphone prices have also plummeted due to local manufacturers like Walton, putting “almost everyone has a smartphone in their hands”, according to one local tech COO. The result is that market enablers are ready now in a way they weren’t just a few years ago – Bangladesh’s consumers have the devices, network, and digital literacy to embrace new apps and services.

Finally, the relative vacuum of foreign capital to date means valuations are attractive, and competition is low. Markets like India or Southeast Asia saw funding frenzies over the last decade; Bangladesh, left out of that party, still offers a ground-floor entry. Early movers can capitalise on the lack of saturation.

As global capital now looks for the ‘next Indonesia’ or ‘next Vietnam’, Bangladesh stands out as a 170-million-strong market that’s essentially greenfield. In short, Bangladesh’s moment is arriving: its fundamentals are strong, its people are ready, and the window to get in early is open right now.

A stable bet amidst turbulence

In a world rocked by geopolitical and economic turbulence, Bangladesh offers a surprising island of stability. The country has enjoyed decades of consistent GDP growth (averaging ~six per cent annually) and has avoided the crises that befell some neighbours. In fact, Bangladesh’s economy has grown into ‘one of Asia’s most resilient’, now the 33rd largest globally at US$411 billion GDP with US$52 billion in exports and US$31 billion in reserves.

Contrast this with Pakistan – a country often grouped in the same breath as Bangladesh in frontier market discussions. Pakistan today is ‘in economic disarray’: growth stuck around 3.5 per cent, inflation over 21 per cent, and forex reserves scraping below US$4 billion (much of it borrowed). It needed an IMF bailout to avoid default, and continues to face political chaos and currency freefall. Bangladesh, by comparison, has managed inflation, maintained healthy reserve coverage, and never defaulted on its obligations.

Also Read: Know thy customer: The only rule for startups looking to build trust on social media

Even Sri Lanka and some other regional peers have seen debt crises or political upheavals, whereas Bangladesh has been relatively steady. Yes, there is political noise – as any democracy in an election cycle – but by and large, the business and investment climate has remained predictable and investor-friendly.

Importantly, Bangladesh has kept a stable monetary and fiscal stance. The government has been pro-business and maintains incentives for investors (including tax holidays up to 15 years for foreign investors in infrastructure and tech). Massive infrastructure projects are actually bolstering stability and future growth: the country opened its US$3.6B Padma Bridge in 2022 (self-financed after donor pullouts), connecting underserved regions, and is building metro rail lines, a deep seaport, and new highways.

Such investments have improved Bangladesh’s Logistics Performance Index ranking to 88th (out of 139) in 2023, a significant jump that lowers the cost of doing business. While many emerging markets are tightening belts, Bangladesh is literally paving roads and powering up – a sign of confidence in its trajectory.

From a macro perspective, Bangladesh’s ‘strong macroeconomic stability’ has persisted despite global headwinds. It even entered a precautionary IMF program in 2023 to shore up buffers, demonstrating foresight. For investors, this relative stability means Bangladesh can be a safer port in the storm among frontier economies. As global LPs worry about volatility, Bangladesh offers a growth market where the downside (macro risk) is arguably less severe than in many peers.

The currency (taka) has depreciated gradually, not spiralled; inflation is high single digits, not triple digits; the banking system, while facing NPL issues, hasn’t collapsed. It’s a stable ship ready to sail once global winds turn favourable. In sum, Bangladesh represents a stable bet amidst turbulence – a place where investors can seek growth without betting on a powder keg.

Bangladeshi startups are built differently 

One reason Bangladesh hasn’t produced many overnight ‘unicorns’ is that its startups have had to grow the hard way, and that’s a good thing. Frugality and resilience are baked into the DNA of Bangladeshi founders. With foreign VC dollars scarce until recently, entrepreneurs here learned to do more with less, often funding growth with profits rather than blitz-scaling on venture burn. “The number one challenge is access to finance. Overcoming that is a much bigger challenge than building a company”, notes Sinha of Praava Health about the local startup journey.

The flip side of this challenge is a breed of founders who prioritise sustainable business models and real revenues from day one. Many Bangladeshi startups are solving fundamental, bread-and-butter problems, not building copycat apps for convenience’s sake, but tackling the kind of pain points that offer immediate value (and monetisation).

Crucially, these startups are often mission-driven, targeting issues that resonate with the masses. For example:

  • Ride-hailing platform Pathao didn’t just introduce Uber-style convenience; it became a lifeline in Dhaka’s congested streets and even launched services like food delivery and digital payments to serve broader needs.
  • Chhaya is Bangladesh’s first fully-digital micro-insurance platform that offers instant and paperless coverage accessible and affordable for blue-collar workers, small business owners, and informal-sector earners.
  • Agritech venture Aunkur stands out because it helps farmers grow better crops using simple, affordable tools that test soil and give easy-to-use farming advice.
  • Jatri uniquely digitises Bangladesh’s fragmented public transport by offering a full-stack mobility solution — combining real-time route discovery, digital ticketing, and operator-side fleet management into one integrated platform that serves both passengers and transport operators.

These examples show a pattern: Bangladeshi founders often build businesses that are deeply embedded in the local context – where success means improving everyday life for millions. Such businesses tend to be more defensible and socially valuable, not just chasing trends.

Also Read: The taste of innovation: Southeast Asia’s emerging F&B tech startups to watch

Moreover, the tough funding climate of the past has instilled discipline. Startups here measure success in sustainability and impact as much as in valuation. It’s telling that amid the 2022-23 global VC downturn, many Bangladeshi startups survived because they were already lean and accustomed to generating revenue.

Local angel networks and corporate investors have started stepping up (84 per cent of all startup deals in Q3 2023 involved local investors), which further encourages pragmatism and alignment with local market needs. The result: startups in Bangladesh are arguably built differently, with stronger fundamentals and a collaborative, impact-focused ethos.

For investors, this means less hype, more substance. A company that survives and scales in Bangladesh’s capital-starved environment is likely one with genuine product-market fit and solid unit economics. As global capital begins to flow in, these gritty startups could rapidly accelerate, but with a foundation far sturdier than many of their over-funded peers elsewhere.

In the second part of this series, we’ll dive into the real-world proof points behind this momentum. You will find case studies of high-growth Bangladeshi startups, a closer look at who is already investing, and a list of standout companies to watch as the ecosystem accelerates.

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